Identification of epigenetic methylation-driven signature and risk loci associated with survival for colon cancer
Introduction
Colon cancer, a highly common malignant tumor with a high mortality globally (1), arises from accumulated genetic and epigenetic alterations (2). Although a great number of studies have examined the progression of colon cancer, the exact mechanism underlying its pathogenesis remains unknown. DNA methylation can lead to epigenetic changes (3,4), in the transcription and expression of some specific genes, which contribute to colon carcinogenesis. DNA methylation in specific CpG islands has been proved to contribute to tumor initiation and progression (5,6). Therefore, detecting CpG island methylation in human DNA may hold promise in relation to early diagnosis of colon cancer (7,8). However, to the best of our knowledge, few studies have been conducted about methylated differentially expressed genes (MDEGs) across the whole genome and the prognoses of colon cancer patients (3,9).
For this study, we conducted an analysis based on high-dimensional data obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) to compare colon cancer patients with healthy individuals, selected different methylation subtypes, and carried out an analysis on cis- and trans-regulation of DNA methylation and gene expression. Following this, we built a novel risk score system based on MDEGs that could predict patients’ prognoses and potentially inform a tailored course of colon cancer treatment. The hub genes related to prognosis were analyzed by the Cox regression method.
Methods
Data acquisition and reprocessing
The transcriptome data of 447 tumor samples were downloaded from TCGA database (https://portal.gdc.cancer.gov/) via GDC tool. Then, the normalization of expression profiles was conducted using edgeR package. Methylation data (of 295 tumor samples and 56 corresponding normal samples) based on the Illumina Infinium HumanMethylation450 platform were obtained via the TCGA-Assembler tool. The 450K methylation profiles contained comprehensive biological information, covering over 480K human genome methylated sites (10). We collected the methylation matrix, where the β value represented the ratio of the methylation probe data versus total probe intensities. The normalization was conducted using limma package and the average DNA methylation value for all CpG sites associated with a certain gene was estimated by TCGA-Assembler. In addition, we extracted the patients’ clinical information including age, gender, pathological stage, TNM stages and prognostic data. MethylMix, an algorithm implemented in R to identify disease specific hyper and hypomethylated genes was performed: First, the correlation cutoff value was defined as correlation coefficient =−0.3 with FDR =0.05 to identify significant methylation events that led to alterations in gene expression; Then, a β mixture model was established based on colon cancer samples to identify methylation states which were then compared with the normal DNA methylation state; Finally, the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was performed to compare the differential methylation levels in colon cancer and corresponding normal samples.
Differential analysis and enriched pathways for methylation-driven genes (MDGs)
MethylMix package was utilized to find differentially expressed signature related to methylated alterations and the cluster analysis of tumor and normal samples was performed using heatmap package. The ConsensusPathDB database, a comprehensive biological database for interaction networks, was used to estimate the enrichment pathways that the methylated drivers might participate in. Humancyc, Reactome, Kegg, Smpdb, Wikipathways, Signalink and Biocarta were used for enriched analysis with P=0.05 as the cutoff value.
Construction of MDGs risk score and associations with clinical variables
Univariate Cox regression was exploited to select the significant prognostic methylation signature associated with survival outcomes and P<0.05 was set as the cutoff value. Subsequently, multivariate Cox analysis was conducted to identify the hub MDGs via stepwise regression analysis, in which the optimal model was determined when the Akaike information criterion (AIC) reached the minimum value. Accordingly, we obtained the coefficient (β) of hub MDGs signature from the multivariate Cox results. Then, the MDGs risk score was calculated using the following formula: risk score = Ʃ (βi * Expi), in which Exp represented the expression value of signature and i meant the identified number of MDGs. Hence, the 447 patients were classified as high-risk or low-risk based on the median cutoff data. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn by survival package to assess the predictive value of established MDGs risk score. Last, Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank test was used to compare the differential survival outcomes between high-risk and low-risk groups by survival package.
To further explore the underlying associations between MDGs risk score and clinical features, the clinical data from 447 patients in TCGA cohort were obtained and the risk score was merged with other risk variables, including AJCC-TNM stage and pathological stage. Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to compare the difference between the two groups, while Kruskal-Wallis (K-W) test was suitable for evaluating the differential distributions of risk score across three or more groups.
Screening of risk methylated loci associated with overall survival (OS)
Since the hub MDGs signature has been identified, we detected the potential risk methylated sites. Using the Perl scripts, the methylation data associated with the hub MDGs signature were extracted and collected into one matrix. After integrating the survival information with the methylated value of loci, we conducted univariate Cox analysis to identify the risk loci. The survival analysis was also performed to assess the differential OS between hypo- and hypermethylation state of risk methylated sites (Figure 1). Last, we conducted a joint survival analysis combining the methylation level and corresponding expression data of one gene to determine the survival outcomes in colon cancer patients.
Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA)
We downloaded the GSEA software from the GSEA home (http://software.broadinstitute.org/gsea/index.jsp) and ran it on the JAVA platform. The risk score based on MDGs was defined as the phenotype. Then, we obtained the “c2.cp.kegg.v6.2.symbols.gmt gene sets” the MSigDB (http://software.broadinstitute.org/gsea/downloads.jsp) database as the reference gene sets. Last, we set the false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.25 and |enriched score| > 0.35 as thresholds.
Statistical analysis
Cox regression model or Kaplan-Meier analysis were conducted by survival packages. Differential analysis was conducted by limma package. The Student’s t-test was chosen for continuous variables, while categorical variables were estimated by Chi-square test. Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to compare the two groups and K-W test was probable for three or more groups. Correlation analysis was evaluated by Pearson coefficients. All statistical analyses were performed in R studio (version 3.5.2), and P<0.05 was defined as significant.
Results
Screening of methylation drivers in colon cancer
We obtained transcriptome expression profiles of 514 samples, including 473 tumor samples and 41 matched normal samples. The normalization process was then conducted, and 12,693 differentially expressed genes were identified based on the edgeR package with FDR <0.05. In addition, a total of 351 methylation profiles comprising 314 tumor samples and 37 normal samples were collected and normalized with the limma package. With the two prepared files of expression and methylation data, MethylMix was implemented to assess the correlations between methylation levels and abnormal gene expression (Figure S1). Additionally, we acquired 320 methylation drivers defined by |logFC| >0, |Cor| >0.3, and P<0.05 (http://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/application/44086414d60d8fd88778dbbb9d6c61a2/atm.2020.02.94-1.pdf). Since the mix models were established using MethlMix, we illustrate the top hyper and hypo-methylation of MDGs in Figure 2. The top 100 signatures are exhibited in Figure 3, where the heatmap reveals the differential methylated levels between tumor and normal samples. The specific clinical features of colon cancer patients are summarized in Table 1. The mean age was 67.23±13.00, and the percentage of males and females was 52.49% and 47.51, respectively.
Full table
Functional pathway analysis based on ConsensusPathDB database
Given that 320 methylation drivers were identified by the MethylMix package, to uncover the potential pathways that these epigenetic drivers might participate in, we performed functional enrichment pathway analysis, which revealed several significant cancer-related pathways, including generic transcription pathway, RNA polymerase II transcription, activation of SMO, and glutathione metabolism. The most relative pathways are shown in Figure 4. The other crosstalk with statistical results is summarized in Table 2.
Full table
Construction of MDGs risk score and associations with clinical variables
A univariate Cox regression model was utilized to select prognostic MDGs in colon cancer based on the survival package with P<0.05. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was then conducted to identify the hub MDGs. According to the stepwise regression model, the minimum AIC was 894.9. The 10-MDGs signature is shown with hazard ratio and 95% CI in Table 3. The risk score was calculated using the following formula: (risk score = 0.12573 × EPHX3 + 0.40776 × FAM179B + 0.08758 × GSTM1 + 0.16666 × HSPA1A − 0.26252 × MPC2 − 0.14311 × RP11 − 543D5.1 + 0.19234 × RP4 − 584D14.6 + 0.12715 × TFAP2C + 0.23671 × TMEM88 + 0.10748 × VWDE).
Full table
We then divided the 447 colon cancer patients into groups according to risk: high (n=223) and low (n=224) groups. We observed that the dead cases showed higher distributions in patients with higher risk scores (Figure 5A). The AUC of the ROC plot was 0.747, representing a superior power in OS prediction (Figure 5B). The patients with higher risk scores showed poor survival outcomes, with P<0.001 (Figure 5C).
The K-W test also suggested that the higher risk score based on the 10-MDGs signature was correlated with higher T stage (P=0.007), N stages (P<0.001), metastasis (P=0.012), and advanced pathological stage (P=0.003), as presented in Figure 5D,E,F,G.
Screening of risk methylation loci with survival and joint survival analysis
Based on the 10-MDGs signature identified in the above analysis, we further explored the specific methylated loci harboring the risk methylation genes that were highly associated with survival outcomes. We wrote the Perl scripts to extract the whole β value of methylated loci related to the 10-MDGs signature and merged them into one matrix (http://cdn.amegroups.cn/static/application/98c8308732b26aad6a03a9d12a64b031/atm.2020.02.94-2.pdf). The data of 130 methylated sites were integrated with prognostic information to conduct the univariate Cox regression model. A total of 25 methylated risk loci were found to be associated with survival outcomes with P<0.05 (Table 4). The Kaplan-Meier plots of the top methylated sites are shown in Figure 6. The joint survival analysis, combined with methylation status and levels of expression of the 10 hub MDGs signature, showed more associations with survival in 461 patients (Figure 1).
Full table
GSEA between the two groups
We carried out GSEA with the MDGs risk score serving as the phenotype base on the JAVA platform. Several significant pathways that were enriched, including extracellular matrix (ECM) receptor interaction, chemokine receptor interaction, and pathways in cancer, as well as calcium signaling pathways, were associated with the identified risk drivers (Figure 7).
Discussion
Epigenetics focuses on the features and modification of the genome (8), including post-translational modifications of histones, cytosine modifications of DNA, nucleosome positioning and interactions of spatial conformation between genomic regions and accessible genomic loci2 (11,12). As a crucial part of epigenetics (13,14), DNA methylation was found to be involved in malignant progression (15). In several reports, the aberrant methylation of DNA has been demonstrated to affect the cell cycles of genes involved in DNA damage (16), cell cycle (17). Besides, other studies have found methylation to bear correlation with poor prognoses in patients with early-stage gastrointestinal cancer (18,19). With this in mind, bioinformatics analysis and the prognostic value of methylation DNA can offer guidance for clinical treatments.
In our research, we carried out an analysis of DNA methylation and gene expression data about colon cancer. The top 100 MDGs were found to investigate the differential distributions of methylated state, showing that methylation was negatively correlated with gene expression. Gene enrichment revealed that certain pathways and hub genes were affected by methylation, which could offer some insight to assist with unraveling the pathogenesis of colon cancer. Analysis conducted on enrichment in the KEGG pathway database uncovered significant enrichment in pathways such as cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction, calcium signaling pathway, and ECM-receptor interaction. The risk score was based on the hub MDGs from the Cox regression models, and the ROC curve was 0.747, which translates to risk score having better predictive accuracy. Nine risk sites were displayed with P-value, discovering methylated risk loci related to survival outcomes. The combined use of methylation sites could provide more opportunities to perform more sensitive and specific tests for the prognoses of colon cancer patients. There is an increasing amount of evidence-based on bioinformatics analysis which suggests that abnormal DNA methylation is related to tumor formation and development (20,21). The survival analysis also discovered the link between methylation and the expression of key genes. For these key genes, we carried out further exploration of the relationship between the expression and methylation levels of the sites, finding that several sites had a negative association with levels of gene expression. This could be caused by variable methylation of the sites, resulting in expression dysregulation and affecting the progression of cancer and prognosis for patients (22,23). Besides, the link between aberrated methylated sites and gene expression was investigated to determine a more accurate target for related experiments and further verification (24,25). Despite this being a comprehensive study relating to epigenetic changes, experiments remain an important way of verifying specificity and sensitivity.
Acknowledgments
Funding: None.
Footnote
Conflicts of Interest: The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
Ethical Statement: The authors are accountable for all aspects of the work in ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the work are appropriately investigated and resolved.
Open Access Statement: This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0), which permits the non-commercial replication and distribution of the article with the strict proviso that no changes or edits are made and the original work is properly cited (including links to both the formal publication through the relevant DOI and the license). See: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
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